1 Commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
William Jeynes fd0674e96a Add a chain of thought to the main prompt 2026-03-26 12:33:43 +00:00
22 changed files with 50 additions and 264 deletions
+1
View File
@@ -1,2 +1,3 @@
# TEMP
literature/
backup.tar.gz
+11 -44
View File
@@ -1,55 +1,20 @@
# AI models for identifying trigger events in disinformation analysis
Final Dissertation Submission Repository
## Abstract
Disinformation on the internet has become a significant and growing challenge, driven by the sheer volume and speed of content generation across digital platforms.
While prior work has thoroughly investigated tasks such as automatic disinformation detection, especially using large language models, comparatively little attention has been paid to applying these techniques to generative analyses of claims. In particular, the retrieval of structured contextual background information that explains why disinformation spreads remains underexplored.
This paper introduces a dataset of trigger events, defined as actions or statements that influence the creation, spread or believability of disinformation claims.
The dataset is created using large language models as few-shot retrievers and subsequently validated through an ensemble classifier to ensure consistency.
We find that we can successfully retrieve a large dataset of trigger events with high accuracy, and that the dataset proves useful in applications that can be useful in the real-world scenarios of debunking and prebunking.
[Project Writeup](/literature/WillJeynes-Dissertation.pdf)
[Project Presentation](https://jillweynes.github.io/LLMsForDisinformationPrediction-GraphVizBuilt/presentation)
## Repository Information
This repository contains the code for main dataset generation, as a [langchain](https://www.langchain.com/) project.
![diagram](literature/design.png)
In **green** is claim normalisation based on [this paper](https://arxiv.org/abs/2508.17402)
In **red** is the main AI processing, based on a simple tool invocation setup
![tool invocation](literature/prompting.png)
Finally, in **yellow** is an ensemble model to quantify the usefullness of the AI generated responses, compared against a human-labelled dataset
## Generated Dataset Link
A dataset of this pipeline ran against 2000 input claims from [StopFake](https://www.stopfake.org/en/main/) and [ScienceFeedback](https://science.feedback.org/) is available on [HuggingFace](https://huggingface.co/datasets/WillJeynes/LLMsForDisinformationAnalysis-Dataset)
## More information
A Graph-Based Dataset Visualisation tool is available [online](https://jillweynes.github.io/LLMsForDisinformationPrediction-GraphVizBuilt/), to show the potential usability of the content.
This and other usage experiments can be seen on the [sister repository](https://git.host.jeynes.uk/jill/LLMsForDisinformationPrediction)
# This repository:
## Project Description
-- todo --
## Solution Diagram
-- todo --
## Classifier Refinement
To see more detail about the ensembkle classifier, see [this folder](/supporting/RAGAS_Service/)
[See RAGAS_Service](/supporting/RAGAS_Service/)
## Agent Refinement
To see more detail about experiments to improve the output quality, see [this folder](/agent/)
[See agent](/agent/)
## Generated Database Link and Usage Experiments
-- todo --
## Repository Structure
```
@@ -64,6 +29,8 @@ To see more detail about experiments to improve the output quality, see [this fo
| ├── input.jsonl # Response in cleaned format to give as context to agent
| ├── ranked.jsonl # Cleaned trigger event response from scorer frontend
| └── results.jsonl # Output from wrapper script, read and modified by scorer
├── literature/
| └── report.pdf # Final submission report
├── agent/ # Code for main project pipeline
| ├── agent.ts # Graph definition file
| ├── conditionals/ # Conditional translations
+1 -30
View File
@@ -1,32 +1,3 @@
## Refining the agent output
Experiments modifying pipeline
| Model | % Correct | % Change |
|------------------|----------:|---------:|
| BASELINE | 33 | 0 |
| Improv Prompt | 39.96 | 0.21 |
| Add Examples | 44.67 | 0.35 |
| Date | 45.51 | 0.38 |
| Chain of Thought | 43.38 | 0.31 |
| Self-Critique | 44.36 | 0.34 |
Experiments with different model types:
| Model | % Correct | % Change |
|-------------------------------|----------:|---------:|
| gpt-5-mini | 45.51 | |
| gpt-5.4-mini | 32.4 | |
| gpt-5.4-nano | 23.28 | |
| gpt-4.1-mini | 27.85 | |
| gpt-4o-mini | 32.47 | |
| llama3.1:8b-instruct-q4_K_M | ? | |
| qwen3.5:9b | 0 | |
%age valid URLS
| Model | Number | % Age |
|-------------------------------|----------:|---------:|
| gpt-5-mini | 22/405 | 5.43 |
| gpt-5.4-mini | 29/278 | 10.43 |
| gpt-5.4-nano | 6/210 | 2.85 |
| gpt-4.1-mini | 15/269 | 5.57 |
| gpt-4o-mini | 27/287 | 9.407 |
TODO: Table and document experiments
+9 -22
View File
@@ -1,7 +1,8 @@
import { GraphNode } from "@langchain/langgraph";
import { MessagesState, ProposedTriggerEventArray } from "../state";
import { logger } from "../utils/logger";
import { jsonrepair } from 'jsonrepair'
import { queryScraper } from "../tools/webSearch";
import { rankAndDisplayData } from "../tools/triggerEventTools";
export const verificationSetup: GraphNode<typeof MessagesState> = async (state) => {
//this is kinda doing two things, but having two nodes for it seems overkill
@@ -10,29 +11,15 @@ export const verificationSetup: GraphNode<typeof MessagesState> = async (state)
logger.warn("No trigger events in memory, parsing")
let genResponse = state.messages.at(-1)?.content.toString() ?? "";
const parsed = ProposedTriggerEventArray.parse(JSON.parse(genResponse));
const repaired = jsonrepair(genResponse);
for (let i = 0; i < parsed.length; i++) {
const search = parsed[i].SearchQuery
// const data = await queryScraper(search);
// const output = await rankAndDisplayData(data, search);
let parsed;
try {
const json = JSON.parse(repaired);
if (Array.isArray(json)) {
parsed = ProposedTriggerEventArray.parse(json);
} else {
// try grab first value
const firstValue = Object.values(json)[0];
if (Array.isArray(firstValue)) {
parsed = ProposedTriggerEventArray.parse(firstValue);
} else {
throw new Error("No array found in JSON");
}
}
} catch (err: any) {
logger.error(`Failed to parse LLM response: ${err.message}`);
throw new Error(`Failed to parse LLM response: ${err}`);
// parsed[i].context = output;
parsed[i].context = "NONE"
}
return { proposedTriggerEvent: parsed, proposedTriggerEventIndex: 0 };
-10
View File
@@ -20,7 +20,6 @@
"dotenv": "^17.2.3",
"exponential-backoff": "^3.1.3",
"fs": "^0.0.1-security",
"jsonrepair": "^3.13.3",
"langchain": "^1.2.14",
"selenium-webdriver": "^4.40.0",
"tldts": "^7.0.23",
@@ -2076,15 +2075,6 @@
"integrity": "sha512-ZClg6AaYvamvYEE82d3Iyd3vSSIjQ+odgjaTzRuO3s7toCdFKczob2i0zCh7JE8kWn17yvAWhUVxvqGwUalsRA==",
"license": "ISC"
},
"node_modules/jsonrepair": {
"version": "3.13.3",
"resolved": "https://registry.npmjs.org/jsonrepair/-/jsonrepair-3.13.3.tgz",
"integrity": "sha512-BTznj0owIt2CBAH/LTo7+1I5pMvl1e1033LRl/HUowlZmJOIhzC0zbX5bxMngLkfT4WnzPP26QnW5wMr2g9tsQ==",
"license": "ISC",
"bin": {
"jsonrepair": "bin/cli.js"
}
},
"node_modules/jszip": {
"version": "3.10.1",
"resolved": "https://registry.npmjs.org/jszip/-/jszip-3.10.1.tgz",
-1
View File
@@ -24,7 +24,6 @@
"dotenv": "^17.2.3",
"exponential-backoff": "^3.1.3",
"fs": "^0.0.1-security",
"jsonrepair": "^3.13.3",
"langchain": "^1.2.14",
"selenium-webdriver": "^4.40.0",
"tldts": "^7.0.23",
+9
View File
@@ -0,0 +1,9 @@
Could the following real-world event:
###TECLAIM###
Be a trigger for the following disinformation:
###TITLE###
Respond with "RELATION", followed by : followed by a confidence score (VERYHIGH, HIGH, MEDIUM, LOW, VERYLOW) followed by : followed by the reason. Use no other words, just return the score and reason in format.
Ignore wether the event happened or not, purely consider the likiness of causation
+4
View File
@@ -26,4 +26,8 @@ Events will be reordered as part of processing, each statement must stand alone
The preceeding messages act as examples of previous responses to potentially ficitonal events and scores given.
Analysis should only be completed for proposed events that would graner >0.7 points
First, consider a range of directions in which the proposed disinformation could have been influenced by.
Then, research these directions in turn, using the tools at hand.
Finally, refine your proposed "trigger event" until it is specific, quantifiable and backed up by evidence.
Lets go through it step by step
+8
View File
@@ -0,0 +1,8 @@
Do the search results cited below
###TESEARCH###
Support the idea that the following happened:
###TECLAIM###
Respond with "CONFIDENCE", followed by : followed by a confidence score (VERYHIGH, HIGH, MEDIUM, LOW, VERYLOW) followed by : followed by the reason. Use no other words, just return the score and reason in format.
Dates can be off by a few days, that would still be valid
Binary file not shown.
Binary file not shown.

Before

Width:  |  Height:  |  Size: 51 KiB

Binary file not shown.

Before

Width:  |  Height:  |  Size: 51 KiB

Binary file not shown.

Before

Width:  |  Height:  |  Size: 42 KiB

Binary file not shown.

Before

Width:  |  Height:  |  Size: 38 KiB

Binary file not shown.

Before

Width:  |  Height:  |  Size: 74 KiB

Binary file not shown.

Before

Width:  |  Height:  |  Size: 53 KiB

+1 -1
View File
@@ -5,7 +5,7 @@ set -e
run_agent () {
echo "Starting LangGraph agent..."
cd agent
npx @langchain/langgraph-cli@1.1.17 dev
npx @langchain/langgraph-cli dev
}
run_ensemble_service () {
+3 -21
View File
@@ -2,32 +2,14 @@
Made using a dataset of 1000 labeled claims from MVP pipeline.
# Roberta model
Roberta model trained on an augmented dataset with LLM generated adversarial examples for low frequency labels.
Trained on an augmented dataset with LLM generated adversarial examples for low frequency labels.
Flan model trained using raw labelled claims, inherrent natural language ability allows for pattern recognition without the need for fake data.
![ROBERTA Diagram](/literature/classifierROBERTA.png)
Regression model trained using the roberta dataset.
# Flan model
Trained using raw labelled claims, inherrent natural language ability allows for pattern recognition without the need for fake data.
![FLAN Diagram](/literature/classifierFLAN.png)
# NN Model
Regression model trained like roberta.
![NN Diagram](/literature/classifierNN.png)
# Ensemble
Used ensemble model in the final version, with the component models available on Hugging Face.
![Ensemble Diagram](/literature/classifierOverall.png)
| Model | % Correct | % Valid taken forward|Used in ensemble|Link
|------------------------------------------------------------|-----------|----------------------|----------------|-
| Original | 53.22 | 61.72 |
@@ -9,7 +9,6 @@ datasets
# ROBERTA
scikit-learn
transformers[torch]
sentence_transformers
# Utils
numpy
+2 -14
View File
@@ -19,9 +19,6 @@ const MODE = process.env.MODE ?? "claim";
const MAX_CONCURRENCY = 5;
const OFFSET = parseInt(process.env.OFFSET ?? "0", 10);
const LIMIT = process.env.LIMIT ? parseInt(process.env.LIMIT, 10) : null;
const client = new Client({ apiUrl: API_URL });
@@ -167,19 +164,10 @@ async function processRecord(record: any): Promise<ResultRecord> {
async function main() {
console.log("Reading input file...");
const allRecords = await loadInputs();
const records = await loadInputs();
console.log(`Loaded ${allRecords.length} records`);
console.log(`Loaded ${records.length} records`);
const records = allRecords.slice(
OFFSET,
LIMIT !== null ? OFFSET + LIMIT : undefined
);
console.log(
`Processing ${records.length} records (offset=${OFFSET}, limit=${LIMIT ?? "∞"})`
);
fs.writeFileSync(OUTPUT_FILE, "", { flag: "a" });
const limit = pLimit(MAX_CONCURRENCY);
-119
View File
@@ -1,119 +0,0 @@
import json
import argparse
from urllib.parse import urlparse
from concurrent.futures import ThreadPoolExecutor, as_completed
from selenium import webdriver
from selenium.webdriver.chrome.options import Options
from selenium.common.exceptions import WebDriverException, TimeoutException, StaleElementReferenceException
from tqdm import tqdm
def init_driver():
options = Options()
options.headless = True
options.add_argument("--disable-gpu")
options.add_argument("--no-sandbox")
options.add_argument("--headless")
options.add_argument("--disable-blink-features=AutomationControlled")
options.add_argument("--window-size=1920,1080")
prefs = {
"profile.managed_default_content_settings.images": 2, # block images
"profile.default_content_setting_values.stylesheets": 2, # block CSS
"profile.managed_default_content_settings.cookies": 2, # optional
}
options.add_experimental_option("prefs", prefs)
driver = webdriver.Chrome(options=options)
driver.set_page_load_timeout(30)
return driver
def is_root_url(url):
parsed = urlparse(url)
return parsed.path in ("", "/")
def is_404_page(driver):
"""Safely check for 404, handling stale elements."""
try:
title = driver.title.lower()
body_text = driver.find_element("tag name", "body").text.lower()
return "404" in title or "404" in body_text
except StaleElementReferenceException:
return False
except Exception:
return False
def check_url_selenium(url):
driver = None
try:
driver = init_driver()
driver.get(url)
# 404 check
if is_404_page(driver):
return False, "404 page detected"
# Root URL after redirects
final_url = driver.current_url
if is_root_url(final_url):
return False, f"Redirected to root URL ({final_url})"
return True, None
except (WebDriverException, TimeoutException) as e:
return False, str(e)
finally:
if driver:
driver.quit()
def process_event(event):
"""Process an event only if score > 0.4."""
score = event.get("score", 0)
if score <= 0.4:
return None, False, "Score too low"
url = event.get("Url")
if not url:
return None, False, "No URL"
is_valid, error_msg = check_url_selenium(url)
event["url_valid"] = is_valid
return url, is_valid, error_msg
def process_jsonl_file(file_path, max_workers=4):
invalid_urls = []
valid_urls = 0
# Gather events with score > 0.4
urls_to_check = []
with open(file_path, "r", encoding="utf-8") as f:
for line in f:
line_data = json.loads(line)
if line_data.get("status") != "success":
continue
for event in line_data.get("events", []):
if event.get("score", 0) > 0.4:
urls_to_check.append(event)
total_urls = len(urls_to_check)
# ThreadPoolExecutor with tqdm progress bar
with ThreadPoolExecutor(max_workers=max_workers) as executor:
future_to_event = {executor.submit(process_event, e): e for e in urls_to_check}
for future in tqdm(as_completed(future_to_event), total=total_urls, desc="Checking URLs"):
url, is_valid, error_msg = future.result()
if not is_valid and url:
invalid_urls.append((url, error_msg))
else:
valid_urls += 1
# Summary
if invalid_urls:
print("\nList of invalid URLs and reasons:")
for url, err in invalid_urls:
print(f"{url} --> {err}")
print("\n=== URL Validation Summary ===")
print(f"Total URLs processed: {total_urls}")
print(f"Valid URLs (loaded successfully): {valid_urls}")
print(f"Invalid URLs: {len(invalid_urls)}")
if __name__ == "__main__":
parser = argparse.ArgumentParser(description="Validate URLs in JSONL file events using Selenium")
parser.add_argument("file_path", type=str, help="Path to the JSONL file")
parser.add_argument("--workers", type=int, default=4, help="Number of parallel Selenium workers")
args = parser.parse_args()
process_jsonl_file(args.file_path, max_workers=args.workers)
+1 -1
View File
@@ -27,7 +27,7 @@ DEFAULT_PARAMS = [
("organization", "http://weverify.eu/resource/Organization/3727f7b2aa90ec0716693e5464b28d18"), # StopFake
]
NUM_RANDOM_CLAIMS = 2000
NUM_RANDOM_CLAIMS = 200
INPUT_FILE = "../../data/input.jsonl"
OUTPUT_FILE = "../../data/claims.json"